Lecture by William Bianco, Department of Political Science, Indiana University
More than six months before Election Day, the 2016 election cycle has already been a humbling experience for American political scientists. A year ago, it was hard to find an elections scholar who thought Hillary Clinton would have trouble winning the Democratic presidential nomination – and no one thought of Donald Trump as a potential Republican candidate. How were we so far off base? Do our theories tell us anything about what happens now – from who is likely to win the general election to the likelihood of a full-scale realignment of parties and voters?
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